Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001755 0.001831 0.001910 0.001999 0.002095 0.002198 0.002316
2025-07-06 0.001625 0.001732 0.001847 0.001983 0.002138 0.002313 0.002527
2025-07-13 0.001494 0.001614 0.001748 0.001910 0.002103 0.002328 0.002619
2025-07-20 0.001427 0.001561 0.001713 0.001902 0.002136 0.002420 0.002806
2025-07-27 0.001383 0.001529 0.001699 0.001915 0.002190 0.002539 0.003036
2025-08-03 0.001334 0.001486 0.001666 0.001901 0.002207 0.002609 0.003207
2025-08-10 0.001305 0.001465 0.001659 0.001916 0.002261 0.002729 0.003462
2025-08-17 0.001268 0.001433 0.001634 0.001905 0.002278 0.002799 0.003649
2025-08-24 0.001230 0.001397 0.001603 0.001885 0.002279 0.002843 0.003802
2025-08-31 0.001220 0.001396 0.001615 0.001922 0.002361 0.003015 0.004194
2025-09-07 0.001200 0.001380 0.001607 0.001930 0.002401 0.003126 0.004500
2025-09-14 0.001171 0.001351 0.001581 0.001911 0.002400 0.003169 0.004685
2025-09-21 0.001138 0.001318 0.001549 0.001882 0.002385 0.003190 0.004837
2025-09-28 0.001114 0.001295 0.001529 0.001870 0.002393 0.003252 0.005090
2025-10-05 0.001072 0.001247 0.001474 0.001806 0.002316 0.003158 0.004979
2025-10-12 0.001053 0.001229 0.001459 0.001799 0.002330 0.003227 0.005257
2025-10-19 0.001042 0.001221 0.001457 0.001810 0.002372 0.003352 0.005709
2025-10-26 0.001023 0.001202 0.001439 0.001798 0.002375 0.003402 0.005985
2025-11-02 0.001014 0.001196 0.001439 0.001812 0.002422 0.003542 0.006562
2025-11-09 0.000997 0.001180 0.001425 0.001802 0.002429 0.003604 0.006932
2025-11-16 0.000979 0.001160 0.001405 0.001784 0.002419 0.003630 0.007199
2025-11-23 0.000978 0.001164 0.001418 0.001817 0.002501 0.003861 0.008322
2025-11-30 0.000969 0.001157 0.001414 0.001824 0.002537 0.003997 0.009193